Peru’s table grape harvest could decline 14% in 2026/27

Forecast points to a smaller harvest

Peru’s table grape harvest is forecast to reach 725,000 tonnes in the 2026/27 marketing year, according to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service. That would represent a 14% decline from the previous season and signal a substantial change in the South American country’s next production cycle.

The available source material does not explain the factors behind the anticipated decrease. It provides no details about weather conditions, changes in planted or harvested area, varietal performance, or yield per hectare. It also does not specify which data or modelling methods the USDA used to prepare the forecast.

Exports also expected to fall

According to the source title, Peru’s table grape exports are forecast to decline by 13% in 2026/27. This is close to the projected 14% contraction in production, but the summary does not provide an export forecast in tonnes or disclose the previous season’s volume for comparison.

Taken together, the two percentages indicate that a smaller harvest may be accompanied by a lower volume of grapes shipped to international markets. However, the supplied information does not address domestic consumption, inventories, packing losses or the distribution of exports across destination markets. Their potential influence therefore cannot be quantified from the material provided.

A market signal with limited detail

The forecast may be relevant to growers, exporters, traders and procurement teams because changes in Peru’s production and export outlook could affect supply planning for the coming season. Assessing the wider market consequences would nevertheless require additional information about destination markets, prices, harvest timing and the level of uncertainty associated with the forecast.

The figures should also be understood as projections rather than confirmed results. Actual production and exports may differ once the 2026/27 season progresses, although the available summary offers no alternative scenarios or timetable for subsequent revisions.

The original publisher of the information used for this article is Bing News – Grape Yield & Harvest.